Tuesday, April 24, 2007

A Warning to the Perceived "Frontrunners"

Here is a warning shot over the bow to the campaigns of the perceived frontrunners. And a friendly reminder that folks in Iowa and New Hampshire don't like being told who the frontrunners are.

From the Gallup Poll:

Poll results at this phase -- nine months before the first primaries and caucuses -- do not necessarily bear a strong relationship to the reality that unfolds in the election year itself. This has historically been true for the Democratic nomination in particular. Bill Clinton, Michael Dukakis, Jimmy Carter, and George McGovern were all virtual unknowns who rose from obscurity to take their party's nomination.
And don't forget that Howard Dean was the frontrunner going into Iowa, yet John Kerry became the nominee. So this race isn't even close to over, and as National Journal's Blogometer noted last week, Bill Richardson is right in the mix.


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